What is the Value of an Issued Patent?
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Last Updated on Wednesday, 16 December 2009 09:01
Written by dbhalling Wednesday, 16 December 2009 09:01 |
Jacob Schmookler, who conducted the most extensive econometric study of patents, estimated the mean value of a patent as $80,000.00 in 1966.[1] Adjusting for inflation this would place the mean value of an issued patent at $506,000.00. This estimate seems reasonable based on other data points. For instance, Intel’s venture capital arm around 2000 would increase the valuation of any start-up they invested in by $1 million for each issued patent. Of course, not all patents are created equal and the very illiquid market for patents means that the value of any particular patent will vary significantly. If there were a strong secondary market for patents, we would not only have a better understanding of the value of an issued patent but also less variation. For more on how to create a strong secondary market for patents see Jump Starting a Secondary Market for Patents. (http://hallingblog.com/2009/11/16/jump-starting-a-secondary-market-for-patents/)
[1] Schmookler, Jacob, Invention and Economic Growth, Harvard University Press, Cambridge Massachusetts, p. 55, 1966.
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There may be a risk of your readership coming away from this post thinking that their patent is worth $500,000, which is most likely very far from the actual value of any given patent.
I think your statement “the value of any particular patent will vary significantly” is true, and in fact renders the calculation of a mean value of a patent meaningless. Also, the patent landscape has changed significantly enough in the past 40 years so that a simple “gross up” for inflation may not tell us anything about a patent issued today.
Until the creation of a liquid secondary market, valuation of IP assets will continue to require in-depth analysis and significant research. Patent owners should consider hiring valuation professionals (or, at a minimum, do their own research as to where their patents may fall on the value spectrum) rather than relying on simple averages.
While it is an interesting tidbit for people like us who spend all day thinking about this, we should be sure stats like this aren’t misused by those who don’t.
Thanks,
Daniel J. Steinert
Ocean Tomo, LLC
Dale,
Daniel has an interesting point. Are there statistics that show the median (rather than mean) value of a patent?
Kevin
Kevin,
Because there is not an active secondary market for patents it is very hard to get any valuations. It is almost impossible to put a value on a patent that is not associated with an product that is being actively marketed or infringed.